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Author Archives: Greg Melikov

Florida Derby: Short-priced Horses Dominate Lately

Favorites in the Florida Derby have dominated in the 21st Century. Eight winners have returned less than $7 on the front end, including five top choices.
During the previous decade only one favorite made the Gulfstream Park winner’s circle: High Fly, which paid $2.80.
In the past 10 renewals, there have been only [...]

Florida Derby Proves a Historic Stakes Race

Ten Florida Derby winners during the past 54 years have won the Kentucky Derby. The first was Nashua in 1955 and the last was Big Brown in ’08.
But nary a 3-year-old who triumphed in Gulfstream Park’s premier stakes race, scheduled for March 20, captured the Triple Crown. In ’56, Needles came the closet. The Florida [...]

Top 10 Derby Contenders

It appears the Run for the Roses is the Todd and Bob Show as in trainers Todd Pletcher and Bob Baffert. Here are my Top 10 contenders for the Kentucky Derby from bottom to top Dave Letterman style:
Super Saver: One of the many Kentucky Derby hopefuls trained by Todd Pletcher. The son of Maria’s Mon [...]

Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch

Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov that should improve significantly or do well next time out, won 11 times, ran second five times and finished third twice times since Jan. 10. These thoroughbreds are worth considering when developing your betting strategy.

AQUEDUCT
Adirondack Warrior: Bumped at break, sat four lengths [...]

Fountain of Youth Good Indicator for Florida Derby

How a 3-year-old runs in Gulfstream Park’s second oldest stakes race often foretells a good showing in the Florida Derby.
Five of the past 15 Fountain of Youth (FOY) winners repeated in the track’s premier offering: Quality Road, last year; Scat Daddy, 2007; High Fly, ’05; Vicar, ’99; and Thunder Gulch, ’95.
Since ’79, only Spectacular Bid [...]

Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch

Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov that should improve significantly or do well next time out, won nine times, ran second five times and finished third twice times since Jan. 7. These thoroughbreds are worth considering when developing your betting strategy.
AQUEDUCT
Western Deed: Bumped at break, stumbled, repeatedly exchanged [...]

Early Birds May Catch Big Kentucky Derby Payoff

The first of three Kentucky Derby future wager pools opens Friday and runs through Sunday for the 136th renewal of America’s Race on the first Saturday in May.
The pools were shortened a day to three because little betting was conducted on Thursdays. Exacta wagering introduced with last year’s second pool will be available in all [...]

Favorites Hold the Upper Hand in SuperBowl

Favorites triumph about 33 percent of the time at thoroughbred racetracks. The NFL team with the highest winning percentage for all games played during the regular season is the Miami Dolphins — nearly 59 percent.
When it comes to the Super Bowl, you’ll be surprised to learn as I did, favorites win more than 74 percent [...]

Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch

Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov that should improve significantly or do well next time out, won seven times, ran second four times and finished third four times since Dec. 17. These thoroughbreds are worth considering when developing your betting strategy.
AQUEDUCT
Bible Belt: Fractious at start, leapt out of [...]

A Tale of Track Surfaces: Dirt vs. Synthetics

A fairly new American saying describes Santa Anita Park: What goes around comes around.
Is it really a case of justice served? I believe the more accurate interpretation is the status of Santa Anita’s main track is returning to its original surface after completing some sort of synthetic cycle,
The startling announcement came from track president Ron [...]